the democratic is let's just appeal to the new coalition of blacks, browns, young people, angry liberals and tear down romney, that is the way to get elected. and romney is saying i need to have a plan for the future and rally the country together and get as many democrats and in dehe pendents as i possibly can to join in the republican base. >> sean: the two things revealing to me is intensity. independents seem to be going in big numbers a reversal in 2008. they are going governor romney. so me that should be the deciding advantage even in a close race. let's go through this. north carolina, florida, virginia. are you comfortable? >> look, in the realclearpolitics average which is a lagging indicator all three of those states plus indiana are comfortably out of the obama column where they were in '08 and into the republican column. >> sean: what do you make of michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and wisconsin? really in play? >> wisconsin obviously is. i do think there is something real. you know, full disclosure i'm involved with american crossroads and we are are spending over $2 milli